Decision making teams have immense power to widen perspectives and as a result, can triple the number of choices considered.
This kind of approach is helpful in understanding: "what stands out?" and what is missing?"
But how do you get better at either? There are three rules that stand out:
Rule #1: Be less certain. Then you can revisit the logic of your decision.
Rule #2: Ask “How often does that typically happen?” Take the “outside view” and start with similar cases before considering the specifics of your individual case.
Rule #3: Think probabilistically — and learn some basic probability. Research has shown that even relatively basic training in probability makes people better forecasters and helps them avoid certain cognitive biases.
No one makes perfect decisions all of the time. We'll explore the ways we can improve our decision-making skills.
